Tuesday, April 28, 2020

Reasons behind China not attacking India over 2017 Doklam border standoff?

China never intended to attack India.

China has a policy to capture land of other countries without firing a bullet. It is alleged that India has lost many sq. KM of its land to China after 1962 war. The usual Chinese tactic is to threaten a country and force it to withdraw from the area. When one area is under Chinese control, China would create another controversy in another sector. China has used similar tactics in South & East China also.

But last year, India stood on its ground and Chinese bluff failed. Yes, China is a bigger economy & military power but India is not a small power which can be easily pushed. We have not kept world’s 4th strongest military just for parades. India can inflict heavy damage on China in case of war. The basic assumption of Indian leadership during the whole crisis was that China would not attack India and the assumption proved to be correct at the end.

China has developed with amazing speed in last three decades and nowhere in the world so many people were pushed out of poverty in such a short time. And China would not like to waste its whole development story on some disputed rocky mountains. India would suffer heavy losses but Chinese losses will be equally severe in case of Indo-Sino war. If Indian would go 30-40 years backwards then Chinese economy would also go 20-30 years backwards in case of war. And then other international equations would come into picture in that conflict. China can’t afford a war with India on Tibet-India border in 21st century.
First published in Quora - https://www.quora.com/Why-did-China-not-attack-India-over-the-Doklam-issue/answer/अचल-गौतम-Achal-Gautam 

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